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Welcome to the Bean Breakdown. Have a great week!
HEADLINES
What You Need To Know
The White House announced Sunday that the U.S. and China have reached a trade deal in principle following a weekend of talks in Geneva, though few details were released. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called the negotiations “productive,” and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the two sides came to an agreement quickly, suggesting key differences may not have been as deep as feared. Chinese officials echoed the optimism, with Vice Premier He Lifeng calling the meeting a success and confirming plans to establish a new consultation mechanism on trade. The deal marks the first sign of de-escalation since Trump’s April 2 tariffs sparked a global market rout. A formal statement with specifics is expected soon.
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday, keeping its benchmark rate at 4.25%–4.5% as it monitors the Trump administration’s trade policy and its impact on an increasingly fragile economy. Chair Jerome Powell cited rising risks to both inflation and employment, saying the outlook has become more uncertain. While the Fed didn’t directly reference tariffs in its statement, Powell acknowledged they complicate the path forward. Economists say the current environment raises the risk of stagflation, with Trump’s tariffs pushing up prices while weighing on growth. Markets initially wavered on the news but ended the day higher as traders now look ahead to a possible July rate cut.
CrowdStrike said Wednesday it will lay off 500 employees, or about 5% of its workforce, as part of a realignment driven largely by its increased use of artificial intelligence. CEO George Kurtz said AI is “flattening the hiring curve” by improving efficiency across the company’s operations. Despite the cuts, CrowdStrike reaffirmed its full-year forecast and said it will continue hiring in strategic areas. The move comes amid broader tech job reductions as firms brace for economic uncertainty. CrowdStrike expects the layoffs to be completed by the end of its fiscal second quarter, with up to $53 million in related charges.
President Trump on Thursday announced a preliminary trade deal with the United Kingdom, marking the first agreement involving a country affected by his April tariffs. Though details remain scarce and no agreement was signed, Trump said the deal will open “billions of dollars” in new market access for U.S. exports. He added that the U.K. has agreed to reduce or eliminate several trade barriers, with final terms expected in the coming weeks. The U.S. currently runs a goods trade surplus with the U.K., and this agreement could serve as a model for future post-tariff negotiations.
Amazon plans to spend $4 billion through 2026 to expand delivery infrastructure in rural America, tripling its rural delivery network with over 200 new stations. The move aims to cut delivery times in half and create about 170 jobs per site. While other logistics companies pull back due to high costs, Amazon says it's doubling down to better serve rural customers. The announcement comes ahead of its Q1 earnings and amid broader tech industry efforts to invest in U.S. jobs under President Trump’s domestic economic push.
China’s exports jumped 8.1% in April, far exceeding expectations, as surging shipments to Southeast Asia offset a steep drop in U.S.-bound goods due to President Trump’s aggressive tariffs. Exports to the U.S. fell over 21% year-over-year, while imports dropped nearly 14%, underscoring the impact of the trade war. Shipments to Southeast Asian nations rose sharply, with exports to Indonesia and Thailand up 37% and 28% respectively. Economists warn April’s strength may not last, as backlogged contracts and transshipments fade.
UPCOMING
What You Need To Watch
On Tuesday, the April CPI inflation report will be released, offering a key update on consumer prices and cost-of-living trends.
On Wednesday, OPEC will publish its monthly report, providing insight into global oil supply, demand, and production outlooks.
On Thursday, the April PPI inflation report will be released, highlighting price trends at the wholesale level.
On Thursday, April retail sales data will be released, giving a read on consumer spending and economic momentum.
On Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak, offering fresh commentary on inflation, interest rates, and the economic outlook.
TIP
STAYING INVESTED
You don’t need to pick the next Tesla or time every market move perfectly to build wealth. What matters more is showing up consistently—investing regularly, staying disciplined, and sticking to a plan. Putting money into the market month after month, regardless of headlines or fear, adds up over time. It removes emotion from the process and takes advantage of long-term market growth. Even average investments can grow into something meaningful when paired with consistency. In the end, steady habits often outperform flashy strategies.
CHART
WHEN TO SELL
Source: @bean_wealth
TERM
DILUTION
Dilution occurs when a company issues more shares, reducing the ownership percentage of existing shareholders. It’s like slicing the same pie into more pieces—each slice gets smaller. For example, if you own 1% of a company and it doubles its share count to raise capital or issue stock-based compensation, your stake could drop to 0.5%. Dilution isn’t always bad—it can fund growth or acquisitions—but too much can hurt long-term value. Investors watch for stock offerings, convertible debt, and employee stock plans, all of which can increase the share count and dilute existing ownership.
See you on Wednesday!
Cheers,
Matt Allen
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